Match Info

Druga NL - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: NK Jadran (Luka Ploce)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1


	Jadran Luka Ploče		Hrvace

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.9	3.1
	1.8	4.85	2.91
	1.85	4.74	2.98	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.27	Watch
	1.91	3.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)	4.32 ↓ (4.33)	3.07 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Luka Ploče
49.2%

Draw
21.1%

Hrvace
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

20.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

20.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Luka Ploče has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jadran Luka Ploče's form might have worsened.

Hrvace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hrvace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jadran Luka Ploče, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvace than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hrvace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jadran Luka Ploče - Hrvace Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Ivanisevic T. ⚽,
34', Rodin N. 🟥,
37', 0 - 2, Skaric P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 0 - 3, ⚽,
53', 0 - 4, ⚽,
56', 0 - 5, ⚽,
58', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Jadran Luka Ploče is considered a favorite.

We predict that Jadran Luka Ploče will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jadran Luka Ploče won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Jadran Luka Ploče won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
24.05.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:3 ✺
17.05.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Segesta	4:1 ✺
09.05.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:2 ✺
02.05.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Radnik Križevci - Jadran Luka Ploče	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWT
- NK Hrvace
Croatian Druga NL
24.05.25	Hrvace - Grobničan	8:3 ✺
17.05.25	Hrvace - Dugo Selo	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Segesta - Hrvace	3:3 ✺
25.04.25	Kustošija - Hrvace	4:2 ✺
19.04.25	Hrvace - Radnik Križevci	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
30.11.24	Hrvace - Jadran Luka Ploče	3:1
02.03.24	Hrvace - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:0
26.08.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Hrvace	3:2
22.04.23	Hrvace - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1

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