Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	2.65
	2.08	3.55	2.75
	2.17	3.52	2.74
	2.19	3.64	2.76	Watch
	2.14	3.45	2.70
	2.31	3.85	2.57	Watch
	1.76	3.55	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.76)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)	2.82 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
42.6%

Draw
25.4%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jagiellonia II Białystok's form might have worsened.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, Duchnowski A. ⚽,
88', Duchnowski A. 🟥,
89', 1 - 1, Pienkowski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 1.

In recent matches, Jagiellonia II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jagiellonia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jagiellonia II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWTTW
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.08.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	4:3 ✺
19.08.26	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	5:2 ✺
31.07.26	Weszło - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.11.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3
08.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1
05.04.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:1
07.09.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1
15.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	7:0
21.10.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1
14.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1

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