Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3h 23m 📅 Remind Me


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.70	1.77
	3.35	3.55	1.84
	3.47	3.65	1.79
	3.72	3.87	1.77	Watch
	3.40	3.55	1.75
	3.79	3.70	1.75	Watch
	4.2	4.2	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.1)	3.75 ↓ (4.2)	1.75 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
24.7%

Draw
24%

Wigry Suwałki
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

21%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

20.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigry Suwałki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigry Suwałki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Wigry is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Wigry for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tomaszów Mazowiecki has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.5:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tomaszów Mazowiecki against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	14	9	4	1	30:13	17	31
15	T. Mazowiecki	14	4	2	8	23:30	-7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.10.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.10.26	Wigry Suwałki - Weszło	4:1 ✺
17.10.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Wigry Suwałki	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Warta Sieradz - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.05.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:3
12.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0
25.05.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0
03.11.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:2

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki