Match Info

BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - ROUND 7

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Jaguare		Estrela do Norte

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.75
	2.66	2.94	2.66
	2.65	2.9	2.65
	2.55	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.66)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguare
35%

Draw
31.3%

Estrela do Norte
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

29.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Estrela do Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela do Norte than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Recent matches Jaguare is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrela do Norte is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estrela do Norte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Jaguare have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguare EC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
06.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Serra - Jaguare	5:0 ✺
27.01.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Jaguare - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Noroeste - Jaguare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 TLTTW
- Estrela do Norte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
07.02.24	Estrela do Norte - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Estrela do Norte	2:0 ✺
01.02.24	Estrela do Norte - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Noroeste - Estrela do Norte	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Estrela do Norte - Nova Venécia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

Jaguare - Estrela do Norte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide