Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 17

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Jahn Regensburg II		DJK Ammerthal

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.91	3.76	3.23
	1.91	3.91	3.25
	1.88	3.88	3.23
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.18)	3.81 ↑ (3.65)	3.24 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg II
48%

Draw
23.9%

DJK Ammerthal
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jahn Regensburg II's performance.

DJK Ammerthal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and DJK Ammerthal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg II than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DJK Ammerthal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Anspach N. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Anspach N. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Gebhard P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 3 - 1, Klaus L. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Rehwald J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 13).

Jahn Regensburg II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ammerthal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jahn Regensburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jahn Regensburg II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jahn Regensburg II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Jahn Regensburg II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg II
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.10.24	Eltersdorf - Jahn Regensburg II	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Ingolstadt II - Jahn Regensburg II	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Jahn Regensburg II - Eichstätt	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Würzburger FV - Jahn Regensburg II	5:1 ✺
07.09.24	Jahn Regensburg II - Abtswind	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- DJK Ammerthal
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.10.24	Würzburger FV - DJK Ammerthal	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Kornburg - DJK Ammerthal	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	DJK Ammerthal - Neumarkt	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	DJK Ammerthal - Karlburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.04.24	DJK Ammerthal - Jahn Regensburg II	1:1
23.09.23	Jahn Regensburg II - DJK Ammerthal	1:2
11.03.23	Jahn Regensburg II - DJK Ammerthal	2:2
07.08.22	DJK Ammerthal - Jahn Regensburg II	2:0
09.11.14	Jahn Regensburg II - DJK Ammerthal	1:3

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