Match Info

First League - Round 8

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Jaiyq		Aktobe 2

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.65	2.72
	2.09	3.5	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	2.65 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiyq
42%

Draw
24.7%

Aktobe 2
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

23.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiyq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Aktobe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Zhurasov A. ⚽, Mukhametzhanov T. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Zhumagaliev A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Mukhametzhanov T. ⚽, Berdauletov S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Muratov D. ⚽, Arystanov D. (A),
74', 3 - 2, Akhmet A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

Jaiyq is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aktobe 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jaiyq	23	9	4	10	21:26	-5	31
12	Aktobe 2	24	6	6	12	42:73	-31	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Jaiyq - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Taraz - Jaiyq	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Jaiyq - Kairat 2	0:5 ✺
24.04.26	Khan Tengri - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
21.05.26	Aktobe 2 - Yelimay 2	3:1 ✺
15.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe 2	7:0 ✺
08.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Kairat 2 - Aktobe 2	6:0 ✺
17.04.26	Aktobe 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLTLW

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