Match Info

Asian Games Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa (Shizuoka) 🌤️ ...


	Japan W		South Korea W

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.25	8.25
	1.19	6.10	9.50
	1.23	6.62	11.05
	1.21	5.8	10	Watch
	1.18	6.55	10.00
	1.25	6.61	7.93
	1.19	5.80	9.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 (1.21)	6.25 ↑ (5)	9.42 ↓ (12.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
75.7%

Draw
14.6%

South Korea W
9.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.8%

18.1%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

South Korea W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Japan W - South Korea W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ohba S. (G) Rangers 7. Hamada M. Omiya Ardija 15. Ito J. Nojima Stella 4. Goto W. Urawa 13. Kuwahara A. Inac Kobe Leonesa 14. Shiokoshi Y. Beleza 9. Ueno M. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10. Narumiya Y. (C) Inac Kobe Leonesa 17. Takarada S. C-Osaka 22. Nakashima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11. Kamiya C. Sanfrecce Hiroshima	21. Kim M. (G) Incheon Red Angels 20. Kim Hye-Ri Suwon FC 5. Ko Yoo-Jin (C) Incheon Red Angels 4. Noh J. Gyeongju 16. Jang Sel-Gi Gyeongju 13. Hyun S. Gyeongju 14. Jung Min-Young Ottawa Rapid FC 18. Kim Min-Ji 17. Yoon Su-Jeong Suwon FC 11. Choe Yu-Ri Suwon FC 10. Ji So-Yun Suwon FC
Substitutes
1. Asano N. (G) 12. Fukuda S. (G) Urawa 6. Funa Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16. Ikuta N. Saitama 19. Mizuno F. Inac Kobe Leonesa 21. Nishio H. Urawa 3. Ohashi S. 8. Sakakibara K. Urawa 5. Seno Y. Saitama 2. Suzuki S. JEF United 20. Tsujisawa A. Inac Kobe Leonesa 18. Yumura H. Nojima Stella	22. Choo Hyo-Joo Incheon Red Angels 2. Han Da-In Suwon FC 9. Jeong Da-Bin Stabaek 15. Jeong Yu-Jin Incheon Red Angels 23. Kang Chae-Rim Montreal Roses FC 19. Kang Tae-kyung Seoul WFC 1. Kim Kyeong-Hee (G) Suwon FC 3. Lee M. Hwacheon KSPO 6. Park Hye-Jeong Sejong Sportstoto 8. Park Ye-na 12. Ryu Ji-Soo (G) 7. Son Hwa-Yeon Gangjin Swans

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hyun S. ↓, Son Hwa-Yeon ↑,
46', Takarada S. ↓, Mizuno F. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Kamiya C. ⚽, Ueno M. (A),
63', 2 - 0, Kamiya C. ⚽,
64', Kim Hye-Ri ↓, Han Da-In ↑,
64', Yoon Su-Jeong ↓, Jeong Da-Bin ↑,
66', Goto W. ↓, Seno Y. ↑,
78', Kamiya C. ↓, Nishio H. ↑,
78', Narumiya Y. ↓, Ikuta N. ↑,
87', Nakashima Y. ↓, Ohashi S. ↑,
90+1', Ikuta N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3.

In this match, Japan enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Japan has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 20:10 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W
Asian Games Football Women
25.09.26	Japan W - Philippines W	4:0 ✺
21.09.26	Japan W - Chinese Taipei W	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Vietnam W - Japan W	0:8 ✺
14.09.26	Japan W - Thailand W	8:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
09.06.26	Japan W - South Africa W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWWL
- South Korea W
Asian Games Football Women
25.09.26	South Korea W - Uzbekistan W	6:3 ✺
21.09.26	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Bangladesh W - South Korea W	0:6 ✺
14.09.26	South Korea W - Myanmar W	5:0 ✺
EAFF E-1 Women
09.06.26	South Korea W - Chinese Taipei W	5:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup Women
18.03.26	South Korea W - Japan W	1:4
EAFF E-1 Women
13.07.25	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1
Friendly International Women
26.10.24	Japan W - South Korea W	4:0
EAFF E-1 Women
19.07.22	Japan W - South Korea W	2:1
Asian Cup Women
27.01.22	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1
EAFF E-1 Women
17.12.19	South Korea W - Japan W	0:1
Asian Games Football Women
28.08.18	South Korea W - Japan W	1:2

Japan W - South Korea W