Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 15

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de Diaraf (Dakar)


	Jaraaf		Camberene

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.72	5.7
	1.71	2.79	6.1
	1.76	2.75	6.37	Watch
	1.75	2.63	5.75
	1.69	2.8	6.53
	1.66	2.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	2.77 ↓ (3.12)	6.08 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraaf
52.5%

Draw
32.7%

Camberene
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

29.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

22.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Camberene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraaf than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraaf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camberene than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camberene could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaraaf - Camberene Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Jaraaf has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Camberene has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Camberene may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaraaf is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaraaf	30	9	14	7	21:16	5	41
16	AS Camberene	30	3	15	12	16:34	-18	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Ligue 1
08.02.26	Casa Sport - Jaraaf	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Dakar SC - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Jaraaf - Pikine	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Sonacos - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Jaraaf - Génération Foot	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLTT
- AS Camberene
Senegal Ligue 1
08.02.26	Camberene - Pikine	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Camberene - Génération Foot	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Linguère - Camberene	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Gorée - Camberene	3:0 ✺
28.12.25	Camberene - Guédiawaye	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLL

Jaraaf - Camberene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide