Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 2

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade de Diaraf (Dakar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Canada	beIN Connect
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Jaraaf		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	5	3.2	1.7	Watch
	5	3	1.7
	5	3.25	1.75	Watch
	5.35	3.12	1.72
	5.25	3.21	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3	1.8
	5.06	3.26	1.73
	5	3.25	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (3.1)	3.16 ↑ (3)	1.73 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraaf
18.2%

Draw
28.9%

USM Alger
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

29.8%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaraaf's form might have worsened.

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraaf than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaraaf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jaraaf - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Lo Ndoye C. (G) 21. Bocande J. 26. Ba M. 3. Diedhiou A. 9. Fall F. 8. Kane I. 25. Wade A. 30. Faty A. 10. Koita M. 11. Sarr A. 29. Mathew Fall A.	25. Benbout O. (G) 19. Radouani S. (C) 5. Azzi I. 21. Alilet A. 15. Lamara N. 11. Likonza G. 14. Benzaza B. 6. Chita O. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Belkacemi I. 22. Alli W. M.
Substitutes
13. Aziz Diaw E. A. 16. Diakhate A. (G) 23. Dione P. 4. Gueye M. 2. Ndiaye A. 40. Saliou G. 27. Toure M.	24. Ait El Hadj M. 12. Bousseliou K. 20. Dehiri H. 17. Gassama S. 8. Merili I. 40. Mondeko Zatu K. 26. Namani A. 16. Soufi K. (G) 9. Terrazas A.
Coaches
Daf M.	Maaloul N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Bocande J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ghacha H. 🟨,
49', Ba M. 🟨,
57', Koita M. ↓, Dione P. ↑,
64', Alli W. M. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
75', Benzaza B. ↓, Merili I. ↑,
76', Mathew Fall A. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
77', Bocande J. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
77', Faty A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
86', Sarr A. ↓, Aziz Diaw E. A. ↑,
90+3', Ghacha H. ↓, Dehiri H. ↑,
90+3', Belkacemi I. ↓, Ait El Hadj M. ↑,
90+6', Chita O. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

USM Alger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

USM Alger will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Ligue 1
02.12.24	Jaraaf - Wally Daan	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	ASEC Mimosas - Jaraaf	2:0 ✺
Senegal Ligue 1
21.11.24	Oslo Football Académie - Jaraaf	1:4 ✺
10.11.24	Jaraaf - AJEL de Rufisque	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Jaraaf - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWTT
- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	USM Alger - Orapa United	6:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
21.11.24	Constantine - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	USM Alger - Saoura	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kabylie - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	ASO Chlef - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTT

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