Match Info
Date: 14 August 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Jaraguá |
|
Aparecidense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
12.5 |
4.8 |
1.23 |
|
 |
10 |
4.75 |
1.25 |
|
 |
11 |
4.6 |
1.25 |
|
 |
11.02 |
4.66 |
1.2 |
|
 |
9.5 |
4.6 |
1.25 |
|
 |
11.25 |
4.9 |
1.26 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.88 ↑
(6.66) |
4.72 ↑
(3.82) |
1.24 ↓
(1.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jaraguá
8.3% | Draw
19.1% | Aparecidense
72.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaraguá's form might have worsened.Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aparecidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaraguá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-36.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aparecidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Preview
Jaraguá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Aparecidense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4). In this match Aparecidense is absolute favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaraguá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8. Including matches at home between the teams Jaraguá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 26.06.21 | Aparecidense - Jaraguá | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Goiano | | | 10.04.21 | Aparecidense - Jaraguá | 1:0 | | 07.03.21 | Jaraguá - Aparecidense | 0:4 | | 28.01.21 | Aparecidense - Jaraguá | 1:0 | | 08.02.20 | Jaraguá - Aparecidense | 3:1 |
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