Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 5

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Joao Marcatto (Jaragua do Sul)


	Jaraguá do Sul		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	9.4	4.95	1.25
	9.17	5.55	1.21
	9.79	5.76	1.22
	10	5	1.25
	10.9	5.55	1.21
	13	6	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.38 ↑ (6.56)	5.47 ↑ (3.9)	1.22 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraguá do Sul
8.8%

Draw
16.6%

Caravaggio
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

23.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaraguá do Sul's form might have worsened.

Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaggio's recent form is better than expected.

Jaraguá do Sul - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
15', 0 - 1, Vitor J. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Santana J. (Own goal),
33', 0 - 3, Evaristo ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 4, Vitor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 0 - 5, ⚽,
55', 0 - 6, ⚽,
69', 0 - 7, ⚽,
81', 0 - 8, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 3 and 5).

Caravaggio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caravaggio is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Caravaggio	18	10	5	3	47:20	27	35
10	Jaragua-SC	18	0	1	17	6:73	-67	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaraguá do Sul SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
06.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Jaraguá do Sul	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Fluminense-SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TL
- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
10.05.26	Caravaggio - Metropolitano	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Caravaggio	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Caravaggio - Blumenau	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
14.10.25	Criciúma - Caravaggio	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Caravaggio - Atlético Tubarão	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL

Jaraguá do Sul - Caravaggio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide