Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 15

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Caravaggio		Atlético Tubarão

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.10	3.50
	2.1	3.05	3.2
	2.25	2.97	3.01
	1.91	3.31	3.74	Watch
	2.2	2.9	2.95
	2.06	3.41	3.3
	2	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
43.5%

Draw
29%

Atlético Tubarão
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Atlético Tubarão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Caravaggio - Atlético Tubarão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 5)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlético Tubarão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Caravaggio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Caravaggio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Caravaggio	18	10	5	3	47:20	27	35
5	Tubarao	18	6	5	7	23:21	2	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
12.07.26	Caravaggio - Jaraguá do Sul	9:0 ✺
05.07.26	Metropolitano - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Caravaggio - Guarani de Palhoça	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Blumenau - Caravaggio	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Caravaggio - Fluminense-SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWW
- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
12.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Metropolitano	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Nação	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Atlético Tubarão	0:3 ✺
21.06.26	Grêmio Juventus - Atlético Tubarão	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Atlético Tubarão - Blumenau	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
24.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Caravaggio	2:2
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
05.10.25	Caravaggio - Atlético Tubarão	0:3
14.09.25	Atlético Tubarão - Caravaggio	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
14.07.24	Atlético Tubarão - Caravaggio	2:2

Caravaggio - Atlético Tubarão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide