Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 32

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Jarota Jarocin		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.25
	1.87	4	3
	1.84	4.06	3
	1.94	3.58	3.44	Watch
	1.9	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.5)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	3.14 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarota Jarocin
47.8%

Draw
23.5%

Unia Swarzędz
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarota Jarocin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jarota Jarocin's performance.

Unia Swarzędz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unia Swarzędz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jarota Jarocin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unia Swarzędz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jarota Jarocin - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Jarota will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jarota won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Jarota won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Jarota Jarocin	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Jarota Jarocin - Vineta Wolin	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	7:1 ✺
06.05.23	Jarota Jarocin - Unia Solec Kujawski	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWLW
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.05.23	Unia Swarzędz - Vineta Wolin	3:0 ✺
24.05.23	Sokół Kleczew - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Unia Swarzędz - Unia Solec Kujawski	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Unia Swarzędz - Stolem Gniewino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.11.22	Unia Swarzędz - Jarota Jarocin	2:1
19.06.21	Jarota Jarocin - Unia Swarzędz	2:1
06.03.21	Unia Swarzędz - Jarota Jarocin	3:1

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