Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Jazz Pori		RoPS

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.44
	4.75	4.45	1.48
	4.97	5.01	1.5
	4.6	5.12	1.48	Watch
	4.8	4.5	1.44
	5.15	4.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.98)	4.67 ↓ (4.87)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jazz Pori
18.5%

Draw
19.5%

RoPS
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

18.9%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

18.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jazz Pori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

RoPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoPS than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Jazz Pori - RoPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kangasaho T. (G) 8. Kaipiainen E. 5. Lakkamaki J. 19. Lamminen F. 2. Lemio J. 3. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 16. Petrishin J. 29. Raitanen P. 20. Tuominen E. 12. Vare E.	30. Berry D. (G) 14. Cato R. 23. Heiserholt F. (C) 8. Isometsa K. 28. Katermaa V. 4. Koistinen J. 25. Leppanen A. 2. Oinas A. 22. Savolainen A. 9. Suutari O. 7. Vatanen V.
Substitutes
6. Aydin N. 11. Eranka S. 9. Lamberg E. 4. Luhtanen A. 30. Majaluoma O. 23. Olejniczak L. 13. Ruusuvuori E. 26. Takala A. (G)	29. Korhonen M. 1. Korhonen T. (G) 77. Mcleod S. 16. Niska J. 20. Roiha S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Cato R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vatanen V. ↓, Roiha S. ↑,
50', Kaipiainen E. ↓, Luhtanen A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Tuominen E. ⚽,
66', Katermaa V. 🟥,
68', 2 - 1, Lakkamaki J. ⚽,
69', Lemio J. 🟨,
73', Nuorela L. 🟨,
74', Kangasaho T. 🟨,
79', Petrishin J. ↓, Aydin N. ↑,
89', Tuominen E. ↓, Lamberg E. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 2.

In recent matches, Jazz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RoPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

RoPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, RoPS is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jazz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rovaniemi	25	12	8	5	52:37	15	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Jazz Pori - JJK Jyväskylä	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	KPV Kokkola - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Jazz Pori - Keski-Uusimaa	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWLWL
- RoPS
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	RoPS - HJK	0:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.26	RoPS - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	JJK Jyväskylä - RoPS	3:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.04.26	Ylivieska - RoPS	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
25.04.26	RoPS - KPV Kokkola	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
04.10.25	RoPS - Jazz Pori	2:1
16.08.25	RoPS - Jazz Pori	3:1
08.06.25	Jazz Pori - RoPS	3:1
19.10.24	Jazz Pori - RoPS	1:0
20.07.24	RoPS - Jazz Pori	3:1
12.05.24	Jazz Pori - RoPS	1:4

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