Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Jazz Pori		Tampere United

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.57
	4.33	4.00	1.57
	4.35	4.15	1.55
	4.45	5.27	1.64
	4.87	4.63	1.5	Watch
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.5	4.26	1.63
	3.6	3.8	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.6)	4.28 ↑ (3.8)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jazz Pori
21.1%

Draw
21.5%

Tampere United
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

23.7%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

23.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jazz Pori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tampere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampere United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampere United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampere United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.7%	92.3%

Jazz Pori - Tampere United Predictions

Users Predictions: Tampere United will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kangasaho T. (G) 8. Kaipiainen E. 5. Lakkamaki J. 19. Lamminen F. 14. Marttila J. 3. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 16. Petrishin J. 22. Pulla J. 29. Raitanen P. 20. Tuominen E.	25. Pakkanen S. (G) 19. Bradbury L. 6. Hasa N. 30. Heikkinen J. 9. Huhtala J. (C) 4. Kovaqi A. 23. Kyllonen L. 5. Laitinen J. 10. Ozcelik T. 15. Rantala J. 22. Vaisanen R.
Substitutes
6. Aydin N. 7. Harjanne C. 9. Lamberg E. 4. Luhtanen A. 23. Olejniczak L. 26. Riihela J. (G) 13. Ruusuvuori E. 12. Vare E.	2. Alapera J. 20. Hamalainen A. 1. Immonen J. (G) 8. Lehtonen R. 11. Rantanen J. 16. Riihilahti K. 18. Torniainen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Petrishin J. 🟨,
25', Ozcelik T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Laitinen J. ↓, Rantanen J. ↑,
62', Vaisanen R. ↓, Lehtonen R. ↑,
75', Kaipiainen E. ↓, Luhtanen A. ↑,
75', Lamminen F. ↓, Vare E. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Huhtala J. ⚽,
82', Bradbury L. ↓, Torniainen O. ↑,
90+3', Heikkinen J. ↓, Riihilahti K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 1.

Jazz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tampere United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Tampere United is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jazz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	25	15	5	5	58:26	32	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Ykkonen
12.06.26	Inter Turku II - Jazz Pori	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Jazz Pori - VJS Vantaa	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Jazz Pori - Salon Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	OLS - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Jazz Pori - RoPS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 TTLWW
- Tampere United
Finnish Ykkonen
11.06.26	Tampere United - OLS	3:0 ✺
06.06.26	RoPS - Tampere United	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Tampere United	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Tampere United - JJK Jyväskylä	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	KPV Kokkola - Tampere United	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
02.04.26	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	4:0
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	4:1
Finnish Ykkonen
06.08.25	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	4:2
23.05.25	Jazz Pori - Tampere United	3:2
Club Friendly
16.02.25	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	3:2
17.03.24	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	2:2
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
29.09.23	Tampere United - Jazz Pori	2:1

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