Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Jerusalem FC		Hapoel Sderot

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.25	3.10
	2.07	3.42	3.11
	2.02	3.5	3.19
	2.03	3.27	3.08
	1.98	3.62	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.91)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	3.17 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
44.8%

Draw
26.6%

Hapoel Sderot
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

25.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Hapoel Sderot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Sderot than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Sderot Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Tuilavko D. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Abuhatzera Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 0 - 3, Eldada A. ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, Eldada A. ⚽,
88', 0 - 5, Avitan R. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 11th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jerusalem holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hapoel Sderot	8	3	2	3	14:10	4	11
11	Jerusalem FC	8	3	2	3	11:14	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.10.26	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Jerusalem FC	4:2 ✺
09.10.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTW
- Hapoel Sderot
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.10.26	Hapoel Sderot - Hapoel Herzliya	2:2 ✺
09.10.26	Dimona - Hapoel Sderot	4:1 ✺
01.10.26	Hapoel Sderot - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Sderot	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - Hapoel Sderot	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTLW

Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Sderot