Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)


	Jerv		Flekkerøy

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.8	7
	1.37	4.85	6.7
	1.32	5.29	7.83
	1.49	4.68	5.27	Watch
	1.34	4.7	7.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)	4.86 ↑ (4.53)	6.79 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
67.4%

Draw
19%

Flekkerøy
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20.2%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

19%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Flekkerøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Jerv - Flekkerøy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gulstorff Pedersen A. (G) 77. Alanko S. 23. Duesund E. 25. Endresen A. 7. Hauge R. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 16. Krogelien H. 40. Osestad S. 18. Richstad A. 6. Wichmann M.	1. Kristiansen M. (G) 30. Brandal N. 3. Byklum H. 8. Gamachis D. 4. Gravdahl J. 6. Johnsen D. W. 7. Richardsen S. 22. Ringsbu S. 17. Ronningen O. 23. Seim J. 13. Skeie P.
Substitutes
15. Gueye M. 8. Hellichius F. 2. Karlsen S. 41. Kussl L. 5. Lillehammer F. 39. Mahlaw S. 99. Skiftenes A. (G) 21. Strangstad S. 42. Syvertsen P.	24. Barosen A. 25. Eftevaag L. 10. Haaland S. L. 14. Henriksen W. 16. Kristensen E. 21. Levinsen Arild J. 11. Nahiry E. 12. Rosenvinge E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Alanko S. ↓, Karlsen S. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Endresen A. ⚽,
27', Wichmann M. 🟨,
45', Osestad S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Kolve E. 🟨,
60', Johnsen D. W. ↓, Andersen H. ↑,
60', Richardsen S. ↓, Nahiry E. ↑,
60', Richstad A. ↓, Hellichius F. ↑,
60', Wichmann M. ↓, Strangstad S. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Kolve E. ⚽,
65', Seim J. ↓, Tjoland M. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Endresen A. ⚽,
77', Hauge R. ↓, Mahlaw S. ↑,
77', Endresen A. ↓, Syvertsen P. ↑,
79', Gamachis D. ↓, Barosen A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerv won 3.

Jerv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Flekkerøy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Jerv is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Jerv will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jerv won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:12. (average 2.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jerv won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 3.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.07.25	Brann 2 - Jerv	2:4 ✺
06.07.25	Jerv - Træff	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Lysekloster - Jerv	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	Jerv - Brann 2	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Jerv - Eik-Tønsberg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.07.25	Flekkerøy - Sotra	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Notodden - Flekkerøy	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Pors - Flekkerøy	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Sandnes Ulf - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
03.05.25	Flekkerøy - Jerv	1:1
24.08.24	Flekkerøy - Jerv	0:2
25.05.24	Jerv - Flekkerøy	2:1
Club Friendly
30.03.24	Jerv - Flekkerøy	2:2
04.02.23	Jerv - Flekkerøy	5:2
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Flekkerøy - Jerv	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly
19.02.21	Jerv - Flekkerøy	6:0

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