Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday

Location: Varden Amfi (Bergen)


	Brann 2		Jerv

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.2	1.6
	3.7	4.35	1.68
	3.85	4.98	1.65
				Watch
	4	4	1.62
	3.99	4.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.05)	4.39 ↑ (4.09)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann 2
23.4%

Draw
20.8%

Jerv
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

22.3%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

21.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brann 2's form might have worsened.

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brann 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Brann 2 - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brann 2 will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Jerv will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jerv: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann 2 (votes: 2 - 40%). Jerv (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klausen M. (G) 17. Andersen P. 20. Berisha J. 10. Eikrem J. 15. Grimeland E. 21. Haga M. 3. Kvale W. 11. Laegreid J. 8. Remmem L. 2. Tveit J. 5. Valland J. (C)	31. Gulstorff Pedersen A. (G) 77. Alanko S. 17. Furaha J. 15. Gueye M. 7. Hauge R. 16. Krogelien H. 19. Mafi I. 40. Osestad S. 18. Richstad A. 21. Strangstad S. 6. Wichmann M. (C)
Substitutes
25. Aga S. S. 12. Fauskanger-Lindberg S. (G) 28. Jakobsen R. 22. Knudsen K. 6. Makestad J. 18. Riihilahti D. 19. Steinegger D. 9. Tvedt K. 14. Vindenes S.	23. Duesund E. 25. Endresen A. 8. Hellichius F. 2. Karlsen S. 22. Kolve E. 5. Lillehammer F. 99. Skiftenes A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Richstad A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Kvale W. ⚽,
36', Mafi I. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Furaha J. ⚽,
45+2', Berisha J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 2, Eikrem J. ⚽,
54', Strangstad S. ↓, Hellichius F. ↑,
54', Wichmann M. ↓, Kolve E. ↑,
54', Gueye M. 🟨,
61', Remmem L. ↓, Riihilahti D. ↑,
65', Hauge R. ↓, Endresen A. ↑,
71', Alanko S. ↓, Karlsen S. ↑,
77', Andersen P. ↓, Vindenes S. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Richstad A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Endresen A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).

Brann 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jerv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brann 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jerv could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Brann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brann 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.07.25	Sandviken - Brann 2	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Brann 2 - Pors	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Jerv - Brann 2	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Brann 2 - Sotra	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Notodden - Brann 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.07.25	Jerv - Træff	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Lysekloster - Jerv	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	Jerv - Brann 2	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Jerv - Eik-Tønsberg	4:1 ✺
08.06.25	Sotra - Jerv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.06.25	Jerv - Brann 2	2:1
11.08.24	Brann 2 - Jerv	2:1
05.05.24	Jerv - Brann 2	2:1

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