Match Info

NORWAY: NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)


	Jerv		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.25
	8	5.25	1.26
	9	5.5	1.25
	8.39	6.27	1.22
	8.39	6.27	1.22
	8	5.5	1.25
	9.75	6.4	1.24
	7.4	5.4	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.37 ↑ (6.24)	5.73 ↑ (5.2)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
10.9%

Draw
15.9%

Strømsgodset
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

17.6%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strømsgodset's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Jerv - Strømsgodset Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, Westerlund S. ⚽, Stengel H. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Mehnert M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 3, Therkelsen J. ⚽,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Strømsgodset have a series of guest games.

In this match Strømsgodset is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.24	Jerv - Hødd	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Viking 2 - Jerv	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Randesund - Jerv	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.24	Jerv - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.24	Jerv - Flekkerøy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWT
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Hamarkameratene - Strømsgodset	0:1 ✺
16.04.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Strømsgodset	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Hallingdal - Strømsgodset	0:7 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.04.24	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Molde - Strømsgodset	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Strømsgodset - Jerv	6:0
03.04.22	Jerv - Strømsgodset	1:0
Club Friendly
09.05.21	Strømsgodset - Jerv	2:2

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