Match Info

2. SNL - Round 26

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Jesenice		Triglav

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.24
	11	6.3	1.16	Watch
	9.44	6.54	1.17
	10.34	6.54	1.22	Watch
	13	5.5	1.18
	13.5	6.4	1.14	Watch
	6.75	4.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.43 ↑ (6.84)	5.9 ↑ (4.58)	1.21 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesenice
8.8%

Draw
15.5%

Triglav
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.9%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

19%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Triglav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Triglav's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesenice than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triglav than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Triglav, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jesenice - Triglav Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Jesenice is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Triglav is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Triglav is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jesenice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Triglav	9	6	1	2	18:5	13	19
4	NK Jesenice	9	5	1	3	16:12	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Jesenice
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.04.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Jesenice	8:1 ✺
18.04.26	Jesenice - Beltinci	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bilje - Jesenice	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jesenice - Nafta	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Bistrica - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLT
- NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenian 2 SNL
24.04.26	Triglav - Krško	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Gorica - Triglav	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Triglav - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Krka - Triglav	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Triglav - Rudar Velenje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
17.10.25	Triglav - Jesenice	6:0

Jesenice - Triglav: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide