Match Info

2. SNL - Round 22

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Jesenice		Nafta

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.55	1.34	Watch
	6.07	4.56	1.37
	7.86	5.07	1.34	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.33
	7.01	5.13	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.11 ↓ (7.83)	4.73 ↓ (4.98)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesenice
12.9%

Draw
19.4%

Nafta
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

18.3%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

17.7%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesenice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesenice than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Jesenice - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Nafta is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jesenice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	NK Jesenice	9	5	1	3	16:12	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Jesenice
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.26	Bistrica - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Jesenice - Tabor Sežana	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Jadran Dekani - Jesenice	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Jesenice	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Jesenice - Krško	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLLW
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.03.26	Nafta - Krško	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gorica - Nafta	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Nafta - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
12.03.26	NK Bravo - Nafta	2:0 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
08.03.26	Krka - Nafta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
20.09.25	Nafta - Jesenice	5:1

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