Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 21

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Bettembourg

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.46	4.3	5.4
	1.45	4.36	5.95	Watch
	1.39	4.33	6.7
	1.46	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)	4.22 ↑ (4.03)	5.74 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
62.6%

Draw
21.6%

Bettembourg
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

22.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeunesse Esch's performance.

Bettembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bettembourg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeunesse Esch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bettembourg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bettembourg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jeunesse Esch - Bettembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer K. (G) 14. Andrade D. 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 22. Drif A. 27. Garos M. 99. Moreira R. 42. Nouidra T. (C) 11. Rodrigues L. 8. Soares D. 17. Teixeira J.	93. Bassene B. (G) 4. Baudry C. 12. Gomes J. 9. Gomes L. 8. Goncalves M. 33. Idha A. 21. Kabore A. 10. Maconda MButa Q. 23. Merino J. (C) 13. Muller L. 20. Paris B.
Substitutes
78. Dutard S. 16. Giovanardi M. (G) 29. Jungling M. 18. Lapierre E. 23. Logrillo A. 6. Mohammed Y. 88. Rodrigues J.	5. Ayena S. 77. Couto R. 15. Mirizzi R. 27. Obeng Sarpong B. 3. Silva D. 82. Silvestre L. (G) 11. Soumah N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
14', Idha A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Belgacem J. ⚽, Andrade D. (A),
19', Gomes L. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Rodrigues L. ⚽, Borger M. (A),
26', Gomes J. 🟨,
28', 3 - 0, Teixeira J. ⚽,
37', 4 - 0, Andrade D. ⚽,
38', 4 - 1, Idha A. ⚽, Maconda MButa Q. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Merino J. ↓, Couto R. ↑,
46', Drif A. ↓, Jungling M. ↑,
62', Goncalves M. ↓, Soumah N. ↑,
68', Gomes L. ↓, Mirizzi R. ↑,
69', Rodrigues L. ↓, Dutard S. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Nouidra T. ⚽, Dutard S. (A),
84', Gomes J. ↓, Obeng Sarpong B. ↑,
85', Soares D. ↓, Mohammed Y. ↑,
85', Belgacem J. ↓, Rodrigues J. ↑,
87', Teixeira J. ↓, Logrillo A. ↑,
90+7', Nouidra T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Jeunesse Esch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jeunesse Esch is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jeunesse Esch won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Jeunesse Esch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg Cup
12.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:3 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Mondercange - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	3:3 ✺
16.02.25	Pétange - Jeunesse Esch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTT
- SC Bettembourg
Luxembourg National Division
09.03.25	Bettembourg - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Swift Hesperange - Bettembourg	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Bettembourg - Pétange	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Bettembourg	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Bettembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
22.09.24	Bettembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:2
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Jeunesse Esch - Bettembourg	3:2

Jeunesse Esch - Bettembourg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide