Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 22

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Hostert

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.2	3.15	2.88
	2.44	3.24	2.76
	2.2	3.35	3	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.63
	2.26	3.47	2.94
	1.79	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.68)	3.27 ↓ (3.6)	3 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
41.5%

Draw
28%

Hostert
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeunesse Esch's form might have worsened.

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hostert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeunesse Esch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hostert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jeunesse Esch - Hostert Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hostert (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hostert (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer K. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 19. Flick T. 30. Jonathans D. 24. Mancini T. 8. Soares D. 17. Teixeira J. 4. Todorovic M. (C)	29. Gomes Y. (G) 37. Al Badaoui A. 28. Almeida Borges B. 20. Baiverlin C. 11. Bekkouche S. 31. Derbali R. (C) 14. Dieme E. H. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 8. Maquart T. 10. Meddour H.
Substitutes
45. de Sousa A. 22. Diallo O. 90. Elshan L. 16. Englaro S. (G) 37. Isamene H. 92. Klisurica R. 85. Silvestre R.	67. Ahmeti D. 25. Caufriez A. 1. da Silva T. (G) 19. Mendes E. 97. Quinol K. 7. Rodrigues K. 21. Yans M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Jonathans D. ⚽,
45+1', Belgacem J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Dieme E. H. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
66', Mancini T. ↓, Elshan L. ↑,
67', Bekkouche S. ↓, Rodrigues K. ↑,
68', Andrade D. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Dieme E. H. ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, Dieme E. H. ⚽,
77', Dieme E. H. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
77', Fernandes D. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 3.

Jeunesse Esch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hostert is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jeunesse Esch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Esch won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hostert	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
15.03.26	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Jeunesse Esch - Jeunesse Canach	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Rodange - Jeunesse Esch	3:3 ✺
21.02.26	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mamer - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWL
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
15.03.26	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:5 ✺
08.03.26	Differdange 03 - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Fola Esch - Hostert	3:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
01.03.26	Hostert - UNA Strassen	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Jeunesse Canach - Hostert	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3
08.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	0:3
14.09.24	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	0:0
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	5:0
Luxembourg National Division
19.03.23	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	0:1
18.09.22	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	1:2
27.02.22	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	4:3

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