Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 3

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Mamer

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.6
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.86	3.73	3.75
	1.94	3.52	3.56	Watch
	1.84	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	3.61 ↓ (3.74)	3.62 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
49.5%

Draw
25.3%

Mamer
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

23.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Jeunesse Esch - Mamer Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jeunesse Esch will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Mamer will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mamer: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Mamer (1.68) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mamer will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamer (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer K. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 90. Elshan L. 19. Flick T. 7. Klica A. 99. Moreira R. 8. Soares D. (C) 17. Teixeira J.	33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 49. Kerger K. 20. Mendes Y. 99. Rapaille L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H. 18. Zilli Q.
Substitutes
45. de Sousa A. 16. Englaro S. (G) 92. Klisurica R. 18. Lapierre E. 20. Larriere A. 77. Omosanya M. 23. Scholler A.	54. Biagui Y. 5. Erragui R. 91. Fiorani A. 27. Maurice J. 97. Montout L. 9. Muric D. 1. Rao A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Mendes Y. 🟨,
39', Klica A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Andrade Brites C. 🟨,
55', Elshan L. ↓, Omosanya M. ↑,
56', Borger M. 🟨,
60', Zilli Q. ↓, Erragui R. ↑,
60', Rapaille L. ↓, Montout L. ↑,
69', Kerger K. ↓, Biagui Y. ↑,
69', Jager M. ↓, Muric D. ↑,
74', Andrade D. ↓, Larriere A. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Teles I. ⚽,
77', Mendes Y. ↓, Fiorani A. ↑,
78', Belgacem J. 🟨,
79', Schmit B. 🟨,
80', Schmit B. 🟨,
82', Moreira R. ↓, Scholler A. ↑,
85', Erragui R. 🟨,
90+2', Montout L. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Jeunesse Esch has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mamer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mamer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jeunesse Esch has had a series of home games.

Recently, Mamer has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jeunesse Esch is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
10.08.25	Atert Bissen - Jeunesse Esch	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Jeunesse Esch - Fola Esch	0:4 ✺
19.07.25	Jeunesse Esch - Jeunesse Canach	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Jeunesse Esch - Homburg	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mondercange	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW
- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
03.08.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mamer	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.25	Mondercange - Mamer	0:6 ✺
22.07.25	Feulen - Mamer	N/A ✺
17.07.25	Mamer - Rumelange	3:3 ✺
09.07.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WW?TW

Jeunesse Esch - Mamer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide