Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Progrès Niedercorn		Mamer

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.75
	1.58	3.89	4.96
	1.59	4.01	4.83	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.4
	1.55	3.88	5.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)	3.91 ↓ (3.93)	4.79 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
57.8%

Draw
23.2%

Mamer
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Alves Margato J. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 80. Avdusinovic K. 99. Baradji I. 19. Bouche Y. 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 10. Natami O. 14. Sacras C. (C) 15. Vion T.	33. Schreiber M. (G) 19. Badji D. 17. Baillet B. 54. Biagui Y. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 20. Mendes Y. 97. Montout L. 9. Muric D. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I.
Substitutes
73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 17. Camara M. 77. Corral K. 75. Hoxha F. 50. Ndenge K. (G) 7. Schmid J. 37. Souchard T.	8. Bahovic A. 1. Bonet P. (G) 29. da Costa Batista D. 5. Erragui R. 7. Khaldoune W. 27. Maurice J. 18. Zilli Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gilgemann M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Muric D. ⚽, Montout L. (A),
54', Ahmetxhekaj D. ↓, Ahmetxjekaj A. ↑,
62', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Corral K. ↑,
62', Baillet B. ↓, Erragui R. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Hend B. ⚽,
76', Mendes Y. ↓, Maurice J. ↑,
76', Muric D. ↓, da Costa Batista D. ↑,
84', Hend B. ↓, Hoxha F. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Jager M. ↓, Khaldoune W. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Progrès Niedercorn has had a series of away games.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
04.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:5 ✺
08.03.26	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWLW
- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
04.04.26	Mamer - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pétange - Mamer	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mamer - Victoria Rosport	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Swift Hesperange - Mamer	0:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Mamer - Victoria Rosport	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
19.10.25	Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:2

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