Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Pétange

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.35	2.82
	2.23	3.5	2.8
	2.22	3.54	2.82	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.21	3.34	2.86
	1.92	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
42.1%

Draw
26.8%

Pétange
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Pétange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Jeunesse Esch - Pétange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Englaro S. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 45. de Sousa A. 18. Lapierre E. 21. Nurenberg L. 8. Soares D. 17. Teixeira J. 4. Todorovic M. (C)	1. Barrela L. (G) 34. El Idrissi A. 17. Goncalves R. 19. Gustavo 70. Hermandung T. (C) 77. Lognard N. 23. Martins N. 29. Mbida M. 4. Noode S. 6. Sabotic D. 7. Schaus Y.
Substitutes
22. Diallo O. 90. Elshan L. 19. Flick T. 40. Janeiro M. (G) 7. Klica A. 92. Klisurica R. 24. Mancini T.	21. Arab S. 2. Erraji A. 22. Fanoux J. 81. Ferreira G. 30. Karim L. (G) 14. Kourouma M. 11. Nguessan K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, de Sousa A. ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
20', 1 - 1, El Idrissi A. ⚽, Gustavo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soares D. ↓, Klisurica R. ↑,
62', Nurenberg L. ↓, Elshan L. ↑,
62', de Sousa A. ↓, Flick T. ↑,
63', Gustavo ↓, Ferreira G. ↑,
72', Schaus Y. ↓, Erraji A. ↑,
72', Lapierre E. ↓, Klica A. ↑,
74', Mbida M. 🟨,
81', Andrade Brites C. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
86', El Idrissi A. ↓, Nguessan K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Jeunesse Esch is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Esch won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Victoria Rosport - Jeunesse Esch	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - F91 Dudelange	5:0 ✺
22.03.26	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTTWL
- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Pétange - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Pétange	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rodange - Pétange	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pétange - Mamer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Pétange - Jeunesse Esch	0:0
16.02.25	Pétange - Jeunesse Esch	0:0
18.08.24	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	0:0
12.05.24	Pétange - Jeunesse Esch	2:1
02.12.23	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	0:0
08.04.23	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	2:2
23.10.22	Pétange - Jeunesse Esch	0:0

Jeunesse Esch - Pétange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide