Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Hubei Istar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	2.92	3.7
	2	3.04	3.85
	1.97	3.19	3.77	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	1.97	2.93	3.96
	2.05	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.01 ↓ (3.07)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
45.1%

Draw
30%

Hubei Istar
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Li Chen (G) 3. Wang Hongbin 5. Shi Jiwei 18. Yang Pengju 27. Zhang Yanjun (C) 4. Zhang G. 16. Chen Yunhua 6. Liu G. 26. Pi Ziyang 7. Sun Yue 33. Guo Song	1. Meng Derui (G) 14. Zhang Chengji 5. Wang Z. (C) 3. Tang Xin 33. Hongxiang S. 46. Yang B. 7. Guo Yi 8. Gao S. 28. Yu G. 10. Wen Jialong 17. Chen Jiaqi
Substitutes
10. Abdusalam S. 11. Bai Zijian 8. Cao Enze 2. He Quan 30. Huang J. 19. Jiang H. 1. Liang J. (G) 17. Li Chenguang 22. Li Jiahao 28. Li Tianle (G) 24. Li Yan 14. Zhou Jingxiang	6. Du Xiaoyu 52. Huang W. 21. Li B. 55. Liu Mingyu 30. Li Yubing 20. Nie Aoshuang 13. Pan Jinglue 16. Wei Deliang (G) 41. Yu Jingcheng
Coaches
Choi Jin-han	Wan Houliang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Guo Yi ⚽, Zhang Chengji (A),
31', Hongxiang S. 🟨,
40', Zhang G. ↓, Abdusalam S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Liu G. ↓, Zhou Jingxiang ↑,
46', Shi Jiwei ↓, Bai Zijian ↑,
56', Zhang Chengji ↓, Pan Jinglue ↑,
56', Guo Yi ↓, Li B. ↑,
62', Pi Ziyang ↓, Li Chenguang ↑,
72', Guo Song ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
74', Chen Jiaqi ↓, Yu Jingcheng ↑,
75', Yang B. ↓, Liu Mingyu ↑,
84', Wen Jialong ↓, Huang W. ↑,
90+1', Zhou Jingxiang 🟨,
90+8', Huang W. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).

Jiangxi Lushan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hubei Istar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hubei Istar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jiangxi Lushan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jiangxi Lushan	25	11	5	9	27:22	5	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.26	Quanzhou Qinggong - Jiangxi Lushan	0:7 ✺
Chinese Yi League
14.04.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLTT
- Hubei Istar
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.26	Hubei Istar - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:0 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
14.04.26	Hubei Istar - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Hubei Istar - Xiamen Feilu	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Hubei Istar - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
26.07.25	Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1
14.05.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar	2:4
03.08.19	Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar	2:0
27.04.19	Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1

Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide