Match Info

Date: 11 May 2022, Wednesday


	Jicaral		Pérez Zeledón

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	2.07	2.95	3.6
	1.92	3.25	3.85
	1.85	3.49	4.53
	2.55	2.88	2.75
	1.87	3.5	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.56)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	3.7 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jicaral
46.1%

Draw
28.9%

Pérez Zeledón
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jicaral's performance.

Pérez Zeledón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pérez Zeledón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jicaral that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pérez Zeledón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	33.3%	12.5%

Jicaral - Pérez Zeledón Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Jicaral will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Pérez Zeledón will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jicaral: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 0.

Recent matches Jicaral is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pérez Zeledón is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pérez Zeledón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jicaral will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Jicaral won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADR Jicaral
Costa Rican Primera Division
07.05.22	Deportivo Saprissa - Jicaral	3:1 ✺
04.05.22	Jicaral - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Alajuelense - Jicaral	3:0 ✺
27.04.22	Guadalupe - Jicaral	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Jicaral - Sporting San José	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW
- Pérez Zeledón
Costa Rican Primera Division
07.05.22	Guadalupe - Pérez Zeledón	2:2 ✺
04.05.22	Pérez Zeledón - Sporting San José	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Deportivo Saprissa - Pérez Zeledón	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Pérez Zeledón - Guanacasteca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
07.03.22	Pérez Zeledón - Jicaral	2:1
18.09.21	Jicaral - Pérez Zeledón	3:0
27.07.21	Pérez Zeledón - Jicaral	1:1
05.04.21	Jicaral - Pérez Zeledón	1:1
31.01.21	Pérez Zeledón - Jicaral	1:2
15.11.20	Pérez Zeledón - Jicaral	1:1
29.02.20	Pérez Zeledón - Jicaral	2:0

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