Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Cancha de la Asociación Civica (Jicaral)


	Jicaral		Uruguay de Coronado

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.3	4.7	8.4	Watch
	1.28	4.87	8.21
	1.32	4.93	9.41	Watch
	1.26	5	9.45
	1.3	4.7	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.8)	4.83 ↑ (3.5)	8.65 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jicaral
70.6%

Draw
18.9%

Uruguay de Coronado
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jicaral's performance.

Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay de Coronado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jicaral that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay de Coronado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jicaral - Uruguay de Coronado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Roques J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Roques J. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Torrez Gutierrez R. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Jicaral is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uruguay de Coronado is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uruguay de Coronado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jicaral is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Jicaral won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADR Jicaral
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.12.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Jicaral	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Jicaral - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0 ET ✺
23.11.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Jicaral	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Jicaral - Inter San Carlos	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Sarchi - Jicaral	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.12.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Jicaral	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Quepos	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Quepos - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Turrialba	3:2 ✺
28.10.24	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.12.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Jicaral	1:0
05.05.24	Jicaral - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1
28.04.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Jicaral	0:0

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