Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Uruguay de Coronado		Turrialba

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.7	7
	1.31	4.79	7.51
	1.38	4.77	7.7	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.3	5	7.65
	1.34	4.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	4.66 ↑ (3.6)	7.39 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay de Coronado
68.1%

Draw
19.6%

Turrialba
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

25.2%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

17.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay de Coronado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uruguay de Coronado's performance.

Turrialba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay de Coronado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turrialba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turrialba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uruguay de Coronado - Turrialba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
81', 🟥,
87', 4 - 1, ⚽,
89', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uruguay de Coronado won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Turrialba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Uruguay de Coronado is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Uruguay de Coronado won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30:13 (average 2.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Uruguay de Coronado won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.02.25	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Limon Black Star	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Uruguay de Coronado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTW
- Municipal Turrialba
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.02.25	Limon Black Star - Turrialba	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:6 ✺
10.02.25	Turrialba - Cariari Pococí	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Turrialba	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Turrialba - Escorpiones de Belén	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
03.11.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Turrialba	3:2
16.09.24	Turrialba - Uruguay de Coronado	0:2
20.03.24	Turrialba - Uruguay de Coronado	2:0
07.02.24	Uruguay de Coronado - Turrialba	3:0
14.10.23	Uruguay de Coronado - Turrialba	2:1
23.08.23	Turrialba - Uruguay de Coronado	1:2
02.04.23	Turrialba - Uruguay de Coronado	2:4

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