The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Almere City 19.1%
Draw 31.1%
ACV 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.8%
20.9%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
20%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Almere City's form might have worsened.
ACV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ACV's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+42.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACV than the current prediction. (-30.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ACV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Almere City - ACV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mateyo M. (G) 53. Zijsling J. 38. Lenssen L. 42. de Beer J. 34. Teunissen S. 46. Smit M. 12. van der Weijde D. 36. Lever S. (C) 57. Hagedoorn S. 37. Ghogli I. 49. Bais A.
26. Wolfs M. (G) 4. Hettinga Y. (C) 2. de Klerk S. 3. Wielink N. 5. Mansaray E. 11. Mulder J. 14. Gootjes M. 27. Lemmen T. 21. Slor K. 10. Spijkerman B. 25. Broers L.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 48. Mojanaga T. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 50. Saygi M. A. 33. van Gom J. 55. Woudstra X.
15. Berends F. 8. Dijk L. 9. Jansen S. 17. Mink M. 12. Nakanishi K. 24. Oostra T. 1. Runhart B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Slor K. ⚽, Broers L. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Teunissen S. ⚽, de Beer J. (A),
25', Spijkerman B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Mulder J. ⚽, Slor K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Smit M. ↓, Saygi M. A. ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Hettinga Y. ⚽, Mansaray E. (A),
62', Lemmen T. ↓, Berends F. ↑,
62', Broers L. ↓, Oostra T. ↑,
63', Wielink N. 🟨,
68', 1 - 4, Spijkerman B. ⚽, Oostra T. (A),
68', van der Weijde D. ↓, van Gom J. ↑,
68', Bais A. ↓, Mojanaga T. ↑,
68', Zijsling J. ↓, Woudstra X. ↑,
74', Oostra T. 🟨,
76', Lenssen L. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
77', Spijkerman B. ↓, Jansen S. ↑,
77', Gootjes M. ↓, Dijk L. ↑,
88', Nsingi J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 4, Nsingi J. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Jong Almere City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
ACV's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Jong Almere City is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 3.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Almere City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
Watch
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Mateyo M. (G) 
Saygi M. A. 
van Gom J. 
Nakanishi K. 
