The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 43.8%
Draw 24%
Jong Almere City 32.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
24.8%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
24.8%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amsterdamsche FC's performance.
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amsterdamsche FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Amsterdamsche FC - Jong Almere City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 24. Lee I. 40. van der Graaf L. 55. Letschert T. (C) 4. Ederveen S. 14. Klopper M. 18. Bensabouh A. 16. de Mooij S. 11. Fonseca R. 7. Nimmermeer T. 20. Elstak M.
31. van der Mark J. (G) 32. Apinsa D. 42. Bos C. 33. van de Blaak E. 34. Teunissen S. 55. de Ruijter J. 38. Lenssen L. 36. Smit M. (C) 39. Huisman B. 47. Ghogli I. 54. de Nijs O.
Substitutes
17. Aharchaoui R. 28. de Jager G. 3. Markiet G. 23. Nsingi J. 34. Oostwoud C. 9. van der Linden F.
49. Boerhout Y. 52. Brandt J. 56. Haven M. 45. Opdam L. 51. Pool K. (G) 37. van Beekveld Q. 53. Vijent D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Klopper M. 🟨,
29', de Ruijter J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, de Nijs O. ⚽, Ghogli I. (A),
42', Teunissen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', van de Blaak E. ↓, Haven M. ↑,
61', de Nijs O. ↓, Boerhout Y. ↑,
61', Huisman B. ↓, van Beekveld Q. ↑,
61', Lenssen L. ↓, Opdam L. ↑,
67', Haven M. 🟨,
74', Bensabouh A. ↓, Oostwoud C. ↑,
74', Elstak M. ↓, van der Linden F. ↑,
79', Letschert T. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
83', Opdam L. 🟨,
85', Ghogli I. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, AFC has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 21:5 (averaging 2.6:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AFC against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 11:2 goals (averaging 2.8:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Jong Almere City
11
4
1
6
22:21
1
13
13
AFC
11
4
1
6
15:19
-4
13
Last Results with these Odds
Amsterdamsche FC - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Jong Almere City - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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van Zetten G. (G) 
Apinsa D. 
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