The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Almere City 37.3%
Draw 23.7%
Katwijk 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
23.6%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
23.2%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Jong Almere City - Katwijk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mateyo M. (G) 32. Vianello T. 33. van Gom J. 38. Lenssen L. 34. Teunissen S. 37. Goghli I. 36. Lever S. (C) 40. Dors M. 49. Bais A. 45. Pennock B. 53. Zijsling J.
41. van Bladeren S. (G) 3. Ravensbergen J. (C) 15. Sinteur B. 21. Bouwense L. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 6. van der Meer R. 16. van Wageningen D. 46. Menelik A. 19. Tahiri M. 22. Brenna M. 7. Korte G.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 35. Kuiper J. 48. Mojanaga T. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 50. Saygi M. A. 55. Woudstra X.
8. Janmaat F. 18. Kamperveen A. 1. Kesting J. (G) 4. Maatsen D. 29. Mengerink M. 10. Suleiman M. 25. Zandbergen V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Pennock B. 🟨,
40', van Gom J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Teunissen S. ↓, Abdulmahmoud S. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Dors M. ⚽,
56', Vianello T. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Goghli I. ⚽,
58', Tahiri M. ↓, Mengerink M. ↑,
58', Menelik A. ↓, Suleiman M. ↑,
62', Goghli I. 🟨,
69', van der Pluijm Y. ↓, Kamperveen A. ↑,
71', Lenssen L. ↓, Woudstra X. ↑,
71', Vianello T. ↓, Kuiper J. ↑,
71', Bais A. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Nsingi J. ⚽, Goghli I. (A),
76', van der Meer R. 🟨,
78', Dors M. ↓, Mojanaga T. ↑,
85', Korte G. ↓, Janmaat F. ↑,
90', Janmaat F. 🟥,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2.
Jong Almere City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Katwijk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Almere City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Almere City - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Mateyo M. (G) 
van Gom J. 
Tahiri M. 
Saygi M. A. 
Suleiman M. 
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