The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Katwijk 35.6%
Draw 24.4%
IJsselmeervogels 40%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.8%
25.6%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
25.6%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Katwijk - IJsselmeervogels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. van Bladeren S. (G) 15. Sinteur B. (C) 5. Warmerdam D. 26. Bakker J. 25. Toure C. 16. van Wageningen D. 20. van der Meer O. 22. Brenna M. 10. Suleiman M. 9. van Duinen M. 24. el Moussaoui I.
1. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 2. van de Groep G. (C) 22. Schuurman J. 27. Mattheij J. 15. Dumay Q. 10. Schulte R. 6. van Eerden J. 7. Hardijk M. 14. Ruizendaal J. 24. Robertha G. 9. Beers J.
Substitutes
4. Maatsen D. 1. Michaelis M. (G) 40. Moes A. 19. Schallenberg D. 17. Tiebosch G. 2. van den Bogert V. 14. van der Veldt K.
16. Belgadi A. 26. Beukers D. 28. Janssen J. 5. Moumouh A. 18. Spijkerman B. 17. van den Dikkenberg J. 20. van Kouwen R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Robertha G. ⚽, Dumay Q. (A),
35', Robertha G. ↓, Spijkerman B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', van der Meer O. ↓, Tiebosch G. ↑,
61', van Wageningen D. ↓, Maatsen D. ↑,
63', Ruizendaal J. ↓, van den Dikkenberg J. ↑,
72', Toure C. ↓, van der Veldt K. ↑,
72', Bakker J. ↓, van den Bogert V. ↑,
75', Schulte R. 🟨,
76', Hardijk M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Suleiman M. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Maatsen D. 🟨,
83', van Duinen M. 🟨,
84', Schulte R. ↓, Moumouh A. ↑,
84', Hardijk M. ↓, Belgadi A. ↑,
90+1', van der Veldt K. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, van den Dikkenberg J. ⚽, Spijkerman B. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Katwijk won 4.
Katwijk is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by IJsselmeervogels have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
IJsselmeervogels may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, IJsselmeervogels has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Katwijk has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:4 (averaging 1.8:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Katwijk against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 12:1 goals (averaging 2:0.2 per game).
Watch
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van Bladeren S. (G) 
Suleiman M. 
el Moussaoui I. 
Robertha G. 
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