Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Jonsereds		Varbergs GIF

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	2.95
	1.96	3.85	3.2
	1.79	3.77	3.54
	1.9	3.95	3.24	Watch
	1.85	4.22	3.29
	1.96	3.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.36)	3.87 ↑ (3.81)	3.24 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonsereds
48%

Draw
23.7%

Varbergs GIF
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

24.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonsereds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jonsereds's performance.

Varbergs GIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varbergs GIF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonsereds than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonsereds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs GIF than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varbergs GIF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jonsereds - Varbergs GIF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Nyqvist A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Kalem Royson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Jonsereds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varbergs GIF is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jonsereds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jonsereds won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jonsereds won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonsereds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
17.05.25	Onsala - Jonsereds	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	Jonsereds - Tvååker	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Åstorps - Jonsereds	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jonsereds - Västra Frölunda	4:2 ✺
17.04.25	Bergdalen - Jonsereds	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLWT
- Varbergs GIF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
17.05.25	Varbergs GIF - Landvetter	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Varbergs GIF - Astrio	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Onsala - Varbergs GIF	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Varbergs GIF - Åstorps	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Västra Frölunda - Varbergs GIF	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
11.08.24	Varbergs GIF - Jonsereds	3:2
13.04.24	Jonsereds - Varbergs GIF	1:2

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