Match Info

WA State League - Round 22

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Iluka Sports Complex (Joondalup)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Streamer


	Joondalup City		UWA Nedlands

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.83
	3.9	3.95	1.65
	3.3	4.02	1.78
	3.33	3.93	1.86	Watch
	3.25	3.95	1.76
	3.52	3.92	1.78
	3.15	3.95	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.75)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	1.78 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joondalup City
26.6%

Draw
22.9%

UWA Nedlands
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

23.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

23.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joondalup City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joondalup City's form might have worsened.

UWA Nedlands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UWA Nedlands's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joondalup City than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joondalup City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UWA Nedlands than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UWA Nedlands, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joondalup City - UWA Nedlands Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: )).

Nedlands is Qualified for NPL Western Australia (Promotion )

Joondalup City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nedlands has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nedlands is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Joondalup City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Joondalup City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nedlands	22	15	2	5	48:25	23	47
4	Joondalup	22	11	3	8	36:32	4	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joondalup City
Australian WA State League
15.08.26	Joondalup City - Curtin University	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Inglewood United - Joondalup City	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Joondalup City - Murdoch University Melville	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Joondalup City - Quinns	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Subiaco - Joondalup City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW
- UWA Nedlands
Australian WA State League
15.08.26	UWA Nedlands - Subiaco	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Murdoch University Melville - UWA Nedlands	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	UWA Nedlands - Mandurah City	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	UWA Nedlands - Curtin University	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Inglewood United - UWA Nedlands	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
06.06.26	UWA Nedlands - Joondalup City	1:1
12.07.25	Joondalup City - UWA Nedlands	1:0
29.03.25	UWA Nedlands - Joondalup City	1:0

Joondalup City - UWA Nedlands: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide