Match Info

WA State League - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Rosalie Park (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Streamer


	Subiaco		Joondalup City

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.60	1.93
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.12	3.64	1.93
	3.19	3.62	1.99	Watch
	3.05	3.6	1.91
	3.2	3.76	1.91
	3.15	3.65	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 (3.13)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiaco
28.8%

Draw
24.8%

Joondalup City
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

22.4%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Joondalup City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiaco than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joondalup City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Subiaco - Joondalup City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone WA State League (Relegation) and 5).

Subiaco is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Joondalup City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Joondalup City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Subiaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Subiaco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Joondalup	22	11	3	8	36:32	4	36
11	Subiaco	22	6	2	14	36:46	-10	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Subiaco AFC
Australian WA State League
20.06.26	Quinns - Subiaco	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Subiaco - Mandurah City	3:5 ✺
06.06.26	Cockburn City - Subiaco	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Subiaco - UWA Nedlands	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Subiaco - Curtin University	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Joondalup City
Australian WA State League
20.06.26	Joondalup City - Floreat Athena	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Joondalup City - Gwelup Croatia	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	UWA Nedlands - Joondalup City	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Curtin University - Joondalup City	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Joondalup City - Inglewood United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
04.04.26	Joondalup City - Subiaco	0:2
23.08.25	Subiaco - Joondalup City	1:4
07.06.25	Joondalup City - Subiaco	2:1

Subiaco - Joondalup City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide