Match Info

Date: 27 May 2021, Thursday


	Jorge Wilstermann		Ceará

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.83
	3.8	3.6	1.79	Watch
	3.8	3.55	1.8
	4.12	3.81	1.85
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.76	3.75	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	3.66 ↓ (3.67)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jorge Wilstermann
23.7%

Draw
25.3%

Ceará
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

19.4%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.9%	6.4%	78.7%

Jorge Wilstermann - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: Ceará will win (37 of 47 users predict this - 78.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.02% – 90.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Wilstermann is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceará is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wilstermann could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wilstermann won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jorge Wilstermann
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.21	Jorge Wilstermann - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
12.05.21	Bolívar - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.05.21	Jorge Wilstermann - Always Ready	5:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Jorge Wilstermann	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
23.05.21	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.21	Ceará - Bolívar	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.05.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	0:3 ✺
17.05.21	Ceará - Atlético Cearense	5:2 ✺
15.05.21	Ceará - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	Ceará - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1

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