Match Info

Date: 2 November 2026, Monday ⏱️ In 5d 13h 📅 Remind Me


	Athletic Club		Ceará

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.00
	2.28	3.1	3.05
	2.39	3.25	3.04
	2.35	3.23	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.15	2.95
	2.32	3.15	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
39.8%

Draw
29.4%

Ceará
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Athletic Club have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Athletic Club - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14th and 16th).

Athletic is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ceará has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Athletic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Athletic has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Athletic Club	35	10	14	11	40:40	0	44
16	Ceara	35	11	10	14	37:44	-7	43

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Club - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Ceará - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
23.10.26	Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
18.10.26	Avaí - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
13.10.26	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Goiás - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Athletic Club - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
27.10.26	Ceará - Goiás	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Ceará - Juventude	2:2 ✺
12.10.26	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:0 ✺
08.10.26	Ceará - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Avaí - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.07.26	Ceará - Athletic Club	0:0

Athletic Club - Ceará