The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Joseense 20.5%
Draw 26.1%
Barretos 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
28.4%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
27.9%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Barretos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Joseense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Barretos in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).