Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 14Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Barretos |
|
Nacional SP |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.2 |
4.65 |
|
 |
1.66 |
3.25 |
5.15 |
|
 |
1.67 |
3.32 |
5.2 |
Watch |
 |
1.67 |
3 |
5 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.22 |
5.51 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 (1.67) |
3.2 ↓ (3.43) |
5.1 ↑ (4.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barretos 54% | Draw 28.3% | Nacional SP 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Barretos - Nacional SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Barretos is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barretos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Barretos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;