Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Joseense		Jabaquara

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	5
	1.58	3.41	5.12
	1.61	3.64	5.26	Watch
	1.59	3.6	5.22
	1.61	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	5.12 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joseense
56.8%

Draw
25.5%

Jabaquara
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joseense's performance.

Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jabaquara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joseense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jabaquara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joseense - Jabaquara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: )).

Recent matches Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jabaquara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Joseense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Joseense	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	União Barbarense - Joseense	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Joseense - Penapolense	3:1 ✺
03.02.25	Joseense - VOCEM	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	São Caetano - Joseense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWWL
- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.02.25	Nacional SP - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Jabaquara - Paulista	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Jabaquara - Grêmio Osasco Audax	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Jabaquara	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Jabaquara - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
02.03.24	Jabaquara - Joseense	4:0

Joseense - Jabaquara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide