Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 8

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Adauto Moraes (Juazeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TVE Bahia


	Juazeirense		Colo Colo de Ilhéus

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.1	4.8
	1.74	3.01	5.61
	1.7	3.24	5.21	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.75
	1.71	3.53	4.93
	1.71	3.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	5.02 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juazeirense
53.3%

Draw
28.5%

Colo Colo de Ilhéus
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

29.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

19.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Colo Colo de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juazeirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo Colo de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo Colo de Ilhéus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juazeirense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor (G) 7. Alexsandro 2. Breno 6. Daniel Nazare 8. Elivelton 11. Guilherme Silveira 17. Gutierrez L. 15. Junior Santos 9. Marcos Adriel 4. Wesley 3. Ze Romario (C)	1. Eduardo (G) 8. David 10. Davidson L. 6. Elivelton 3. Erik Cesar (C) 15. Felipe Pelles 11. Gelton Francisco 7. Hara 16. Neto 2. Pablo 4. Rafael Henriques

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Wesley ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Davidson L. ⚽,
36', Neto ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Guilherme Silveira ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Guilherme Silveira ⚽,
82', Rafael Henriques 🟨,
85', Tata Baiano 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Tata Baiano ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2).

Recent matches Juazeirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colo Colo de Ilhéus has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juazeirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juazeirense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Juazeirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Including matches at home between the teams Juazeirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.25	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Juazeirense - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.25	Jacobina - Juazeirense	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Juazeirense - Porto SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLTWL
- Colo Colo de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.25	Bahia - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	6:0 ✺
04.02.25	Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Barcelona de Ilhéus	2:2 ✺
30.01.25	Jacuipense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
18.01.25	Jequié - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.05.15	Juazeirense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	2:0

Juazeirense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide