Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 6

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Waldomiro Borges Stadium (Jequié) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:15	TVE Bahia


	Colo Colo de Ilhéus		Barcelona de Ilhéus

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.65	2.8	2.06
	3.81	2.79	2.08
	3.91	2.92	2.04
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.69	3.13	1.97
	3.65	2.8	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.23)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo Colo de Ilhéus
24.5%

Draw
31.3%

Barcelona de Ilhéus
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28%

29.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo Colo de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo Colo de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Barcelona de Ilhéus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cima V. (G) 9. Damian Puentes 8. David 10. Davidson L. 6. Elivelton 4. Erik Cesar 5. Gabriel Pereira 7. Hara 3. Rafael Henriques 2. Roni 11. Wesley	1. Rafael Copetti (G) 10. Cadu 3. Clebson 17. Denis Ribeiro 7. Hippolito 4. Jaques 2. Jeferson Neves 5. Lidio (C) 9. Lucio Maranhao 15. Vinicius Guimaraes M. 6. Willian Bahia
Substitutes
13. Bruno Luiz 14. Daniel Baiano 12. Eduardo (G) 20. Fabio Matos 15. Felipe Pelles 22. Guiga (G) 17. Matheus Goiano 16. Neto 18. Pablo Maldini 19. Palacios J.	13. Ale Santos 11. Gianlucas 19. Jacare A. 14. John Lessa 25. Juan Gauto 16. Michel Tiago 20. Nadson 8. Ramires 21. Ribeiro Veloso R. P. 12. Simoes Viana W. (G) 18. Willian Kaefer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Wesley ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
13', 0 - 1, Willian Bahia ⚽,
25', Gabriel Pereira ↓, Felipe Pelles ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽,
45+3', Damian Puentes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vinicius Guimaraes M. ↓, Jacare A. ↑,
46', Hippolito ↓, Willian Kaefer ↑,
46', Felipe Pelles ↓, Daniel Baiano ↑,
69', Hara ↓, Neto ↑,
69', Damian Puentes ↓, Fabio Matos ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Neto ⚽,
73', Neto 🟨,
75', Cadu 🟨,
78', Willian Bahia ↓, Gianlucas ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', Neto (Pen),
90+1', 2 - 2, Gianlucas ⚽,
90+3', Elivelton 🟨,
90+3', Willian Kaefer 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2 and 7).

Colo Colo de Ilhéus is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barcelona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo Colo de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
30.01.25	Jacuipense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
18.01.25	Jequié - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Porto SC	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTT
- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
28.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
22.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacobina	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jequié	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Vitória Salvador - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTTT

Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Barcelona de Ilhéus