Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Nordlandshallen (Bodo)


	Junkeren		Vålerenga 2

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	7.5
	1.25	6	8
	1.26	6.07	9.06
	1.19	5.75	8.81
	1.2	5.8	8
	1.23	6.3	8
	1.31	5.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.44)	5.87 ↑ (4.87)	8 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junkeren
73.2%

Draw
15.5%

Vålerenga 2
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

19%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

12.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junkeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Junkeren's performance.

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junkeren than the current prediction. (-32%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junkeren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Junkeren - Vålerenga 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta A. (G) 10. Chooly S. 7. Hagen A. 28. Lauritzen M. J. 21. Lekang I. 19. Melstein E. 3. Myrseth H. (C) 4. Nordland J. 9. Svela S. 77. Unhjem I. 5. van der Spa A.	30. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (C) 18. Bully O. 14. Eie B. 36. Granli J. 5. Kerdoe M. 3. Kjelsen A. 33. Obasi O. 7. Pajic E. 20. Renshuslokken J. 27. Ronning A. 2. Samson H.
Substitutes
12. Andersen M. (G) 15. Evertsen B. 14. Lien L. 20. Mkrtchyan D. 13. Nilssen S. (G) 27. Nordland U. 29. Rengard T. 18. Sletten A.	24. Najafzadeh M. 6. Opesanmi I. 40. Strom U. (G) 8. Winje I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Chooly S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Lekang I. ⚽,
55', Bully O. 🟨,
71', Lekang I. 🟨,
75', Hagen A. ↓, Nordland U. ↑,
80', Obasi O. ↓, Najafzadeh M. ↑,
81', Svela S. ↓, Lien L. ↑,
81', Lekang I. ↓, Evertsen B. ↑,
89', Unhjem I. ↓, Sletten A. ↑,
89', Chooly S. ↓, Rengard T. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Junkeren is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vålerenga 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Junkeren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Junkeren is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Junkeren
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
16.06.24	Strømmen - Junkeren	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Junkeren - Ullensaker Kisa	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Kjelsås - Junkeren	3:2 ✺
26.05.24	Junkeren - Follo	3:4 ✺
20.05.24	Alta - Junkeren	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TWLLL
- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.06.24	Vålerenga 2 - Tromsdalen	2:3 ✺
10.06.24	Vålerenga 2 - Follo	0:3 ✺
02.06.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
27.05.24	Vålerenga 2 - Skeid	1:3 ✺
16.05.24	Kjelsås - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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