Match Info

Primera C - Round 10

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Justo José de Urquiza		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	3	2.68	2.42
	3.01	2.76	2.32
	3.17	2.72	2.43	Watch
	3.1	2.63	2.45
	3.11	2.76	2.4
	2.28	2.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.28)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	2.54 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justo José de Urquiza
30.8%

Draw
33.4%

Sacachispas
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

34.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justo José de Urquiza's form might have worsened.

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sacachispas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Justo José de Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacachispas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Justo José de Urquiza - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 0.

In recent matches, Justo José Urquiza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sacachispas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Justo José Urquiza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Justo José de Urquiza - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
25.04.26	Argentino de Rosario - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTTWT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera C
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sacachispas - Deportivo Español	4:3 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Leandro N. Alem - Sacachispas	0:5 ✺
20.03.26	Sacachispas - Atlas General Rodríguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.12.21	Sacachispas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0
27.11.21	Justo José de Urquiza - Sacachispas	1:1
16.10.21	Sacachispas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0
22.06.21	Justo José de Urquiza - Sacachispas	0:1
15.10.19	Sacachispas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1
08.03.19	Sacachispas - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1
28.09.18	Justo José de Urquiza - Sacachispas	2:2

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