Match Info

Primera C - Round 9

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)


	Sacachispas		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.88	4.05
	1.93	2.82	3.97
	1.95	2.95	4.14	Watch
	2	2.75	4
	1.87	2.88	4.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)	2.86 ↓ (3.04)	4.14 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
46.6%

Draw
31.6%

Mercedes
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

29.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sacachispas - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Sacachispas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mercedes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sacachispas is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 4.18 are the expected chance of winning is 21.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.26	Sacachispas - Deportivo Español	4:3 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Leandro N. Alem - Sacachispas	0:5 ✺
20.03.26	Sacachispas - Atlas General Rodríguez	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sacachispas - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.26	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mercedes - Berazategui	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTLT

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