The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 37.9%
Draw 34%
Defensores de Cambaceres 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
31.9%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
30.6%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Defensores de Cambaceres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Cambaceres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Cambaceres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Defensores de Cambaceres Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Brandan L. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Sanchez Palencia D. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Cardozo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 3 - 1, Ortiz E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 2.
Juventud Unida has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cambaceres is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Cambaceres has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventud Unida won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).