The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 25.6%
Draw 32.3%
Estrella del Sur 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
32.7%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
34.1%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud Unida de San Miguel's form might have worsened.
Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrella del Sur's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud Unida de San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrella del Sur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Estrella del Sur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Cardozo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Ortiz E. ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Juventud Unida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Juventud Unida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.