Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo (Torremolinos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.62	2.98	2.68
	2.61	2.9	2.81
	2.59	3.01	2.84	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.48	2.93	2.73
	2.57	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.97)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	2.76 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
35.8%

Draw
31.2%

Hércules
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juventud de Torremolinos - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fran Martinez (G) 2. Edu Lopez 5. Dani 18. Delmonte N. 16. Diaz S. 29. Roldan L. 6. Climent A. 14. Polo C. 7. Camacho A. 9. Pito Camacho 11. Ribeiro I.	13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 24. Jimenez J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 8. Mangada C. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 19. Sol F. 11. Ropero U.
Substitutes
12. Ajegun Perez R. 19. Amelibia J. 13. Barragan B. (G) 31. Bozada J. 21. Christian 25. Diao U. 10. Gallego Cea F. 17. Gonzalez I. 23. Lesedi S. A. 4. Merida Palomino J. 22. Roldan R. 15. Salguero A.	3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 17. De Leon J. 10. Espinosa N. 28. Galvan J. 30. Mompean M. (G) 21. Retu 26. Sergio G. F. 20. Sotillos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Ropero U. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Roldan L. ↓, Gallego Cea F. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Pito Camacho ⚽,
65', Ropero U. ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Dani (Own goal),
72', Pito Camacho 🟨,
77', Escudero A. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
82', Camacho A. ↓, Diao U. ↑,
82', Edu Lopez ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
83', Polo C. ↓, Christian ↑,
86', Jimenez J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
86', Sol F. ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
86', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Retu ↑,
86', Delmonte N. ↓, Roldan R. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+8', Espinosa N. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Gonzalez I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Torremolinos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Hércules - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.02.26	Algeciras - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sabadell - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Betis B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWTL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.02.26	Hércules - Antequera	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hércules - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tarazona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hércules - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1

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